[[ planning period is a type of cycle ]]
Robert S. McNamara, In retrospect : the tragedy and lessons of Vietnam, [1995]
p.23
As part of the process, we shifted from a 1-year to a 5-year planning period, a revolutionary change that has now spread across the government. And we instituted the Planning, Programming, Budgeting system [PPBS] to clarify procurement choices.
( In retrospect : the tragedy and lesson of Vietnam / Robert S. McNamara with Brian VanDeMark.──1st ed., 1. vietnam conflict, 1961─1975 ── united states., DS558.M44 1995, 959.704'3373──dc20, )
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Alan Kay, 2015: Power of Simplicity
https://youtu.be/NdSD07U5uBs?t=1992
https://youtu.be/NdSD07U5uBs?t=1992
Aug 10, 2015
ten years ago today
ten years into the future
go back ten years from today
let's imagine a 10-year vision (10-year plan) (10-year blueprint)
five-year horizon are necessary
five-year horizon, most invention come up in the first three years
you set a three year horizon, you're not going to get them
that five year horizon allows the people to do the right thing the first year
at Apple, most of the thing we did took about three years
if everything go right, you get a ~ 7 years thing from this 10 year framework that you have set up
7 years ago, Today was 7 years in the Future!
anything that's new, 7 years is about ... you can do it,
you can almost do always do it under 10
a [relatively] small amount of money, but allocated over a time that could be
a [relatively] small amount of money, but allocated over a time that could be
longer than most CEO stay around ...
very dollar that you take out of this thing, is a dollar that you can used to improve the bottom line
ARPA funded universities
IBM couldn't do it
the goose that laid the golden eggs
it's not their business; their business is to count those golden eggs after they get laid
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Robert S. McNamara, In retrospect : the tragedy and lessons of Vietnam, [1995]
p.xvii
The ancient Greek dramatist Aeschylus wrote, “The reward of suffering is experience.”
p.29
We must be clear-sighted in beginnings, for, as in their budding we discern not the danger, so in their full growth we perceive not the remedy
── Montaigne, Essays
Michael Eyquem de Montaigne
( In retrospect : the tragedy and lesson of Vietnam / Robert S. McNamara with Brian VanDeMark.──1st ed., 1. vietnam conflict, 1961─1975 ── united states., DS558.M44 1995, 959.704'3373──dc20, )
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